Sunday, 5 February 2023

Records that fell in triple j's Hottest 100 of 2022

So the Hottest 100 of 2022 has been run and won for another year. Records tumbled, Flume won again, and everyone had a great time, with no one complaining about the countdown at all.

Anyway, here's a bunch of things that happened in the countdown.

And don't forget this amazing list of the Hottest 100 songs that missed the Hottest 100.

Most appearances by an act in the history of the countdown

Hilltop Hoods hold the records for most appearances and entries in the Hottest 100.

The bods at triple j like to talk about who has the most "entries" in the Hottest 100. Unofficial Hottest 100 historian Patrick Avenell likes to talk about "appearances". I wrote a whole thing about it, but let's look at where the records stand now, starting with "appearances". And no, I'm not counting the "all-time" countdowns, so don't @ me.

Counting featurings, remixes, withs, versuses, and Xs, here's where the table now stands after Hilltop Hoods scored two entries in the 2022 countdown.

24 - Hilltop Hoods
22 - Powderfinger, Foo Fighters, Flume
20 - Kanye West
19 - Tame Impala
17 - Silverchair, Muse, Grinspoon
16 - The Wombats, The Living End, Lime Cordiale, John Butler Trio, Billie Eilish
15 - Regurgitator, Arctic Monkeys
14 - You Am I, Spacey Jane, Something for Kate, Placebo, Pearl Jam, Ocean Alley, G Flip, Florence And The Machine
13 - Rüfüs Du Sol/Rüfüs, Lorde, Kendrick Lamar, Illy, Green Day, Bring Me The Horizon, Ball Park Music
12 - The Smashing Pumpkins, The Cat Empire, The Amity Affliction, Red Hot Chili Peppers, Radiohead, Garbage, Eskimo Joe, DMA's

Note this is appearances as a named act, not as individuals. It's also worth noting that Billie Eilish strengthened her lead as the most successful woman in the history of the Hottest 100.

Most appearances by individuals in the history of the countdown

Dave Grohl holds the record for most individual performances in the Hottest 100.

But for shits and gigs, let's have a look at the individuals table. I haven't built a proper database for this, because it's a real rabbit-hole, but with the bare minimum of research here's what I've got, which is probably wrong. From what I can tell, there were no records set here, but Bernard Fanning, Hilltop Hoods and Flume all shortened Dave Grohl's seemingly unassailable lead.

31 - Dave Grohl
25 - Bernard Fanning
24 - Suffa, Pressure, DJ Debris
22 - The non-Bernards of Powderfinger, Flume
21 - Nate Mendel
20 - Kanye West
19 - Tame Impala aka Kevin Parker
18 - Daniel Johns
17 - Ian Kenny, Jack White (if he really is singing on the Electric Six track Danger! High Voltage, otherwise he's on 16), Chris Joannou, Ben Gillies, all three members of Muse, all four members of Grinspoon, Chris Cheney, Quan Yeomans, Damon Albarn
16 - Paul Dempsey, Scott Owen, The Wombats, Lime Cordiale, John Butler, Billie Eilish 
15 - Florence Welch, Taylor Hawkins, Ben Ely, Alex Turner, Jamie Cook, Matt Helders, Tim Rogers, Thom Yorke

Most entries by an act in the history of the countdown

The record shared by Powderfinger for most entries in the Hottest 100 has been surpassed.

Now lets do it by the Dave-Ruby-Howe-approved-triple-j-certified book, and not count featurings, remixes etc.... Note that Flume is the biggest loser when you look at the list this way.

23 - Hilltop Hoods
22 - Powderfinger, Foo Fighters
19 - Kanye West
18 - Tame Impala
17 - Silverchair, Muse, Grinspoon, Flume
16 - The Wombats, The Living End, Lime Cordiale, John Butler Trio, Billie Eilish
15 - Regurgitator, Arctic Monkeys

Most countdowns appeared in

Foo Fighters are now tied for most Hottest 100 countdowns appeared in.

If consistency is key, then here's the table that matters most - the table for most countdowns appeared in, which is another record equalled by Hilltop Hoods this year. By comparison, Spacey Jane's 14 entries have appeared across just four countdowns.

13 - Hilltop Hoods, Foo Fighters
12 - Kanye West
11 - The Living End
10 - The Wombats, The Chemical Brothers, Illy
9 - Tame Impala, Something for Kate, San Cisco, Radiohead, Powderfinger, Pearl Jam, John Butler Trio, Grinspoon, Flume, Arctic Monkeys

Most countdowns between first and most recent appearance

Damon Albarn set a new record for most countdowns between first and most recent appearance.

This longevity record is once again as big as it can possibly be. There have been 30 countdowns and only one artist appeared in both the first Hottest 100 in 1993 and the 2022 countdown. This table is a bit inexact probably, but to the best I can figure it goes like this:

30 countdowns apart - Damon Albarn (Blur - For Tomorrow at #90 in 1993, and Gorillaz - New Gold at #13 in 2022)
29 - Paul Kelly (with Christine Anu - Last Train at #61 in 1993, and with Ziggy Ramo - Little Things at #99 in 2021)
27 - Bernard Fanning (three songs with Powderfinger in 1996, and with Baker Boy - Wish You Well at #31 in 2022)
22 - Zack de la Rocha (two songs with Rage Against The Machine in 1993, and with Run The Jewels in 2014), Dave Grohl (Nirvana - Heart-Shaped Box at #20 in 1993, and Foo Fighters - Something From Nothing at #84 in 2014)
21 - Pat Smear (Nirvana - About A Girl from the MTV Unplugged concert at #7 in 1994, and Foo Fighters - Something From Nothing at #84 in 2014)
20 - Tim Rogers (You Am I - Adam's Ribs at #50 in 1993, and with The Bamboos in 2012), Hilltop Hoods (first appearance in 2003, most recent in 2022)
19 - Nate Mendel (Foo Fighters - Down In The Park at #21 in 1996, and Foo Fighters - Something From Nothing at #84 in 2014)
18 - Robert Smith (The Cure - Friday I'm In Love at #39 in 1993, and with Crystal Castles in 2010), and three quarters of Arctic Monkeys (Alex Turner, Jamie Cook, Matt Helders played on I Bet You Look Good On The Dancefloor in 2005 and two songs in 2022's Hottest 100)

Most wins

Flume is only the second act to win twice.

Oh yeah, that's right - the big one. Flume and Powderfinger are the only acts to win twice, though Bernard Fanning has three wins thanks to his solo victory with Wish You Well in 2005.

Most songs in a single countdown (and other related records)

Spacey Jane equalled the record for most songs in a single countdown.

Spacey Jane finally equalled Wolfmother's long-standing record of six songs in a single countdown. But if you want to get super-nerdy (and who doesn't?), then there are a few more records to unpack within those six songs.

Spacey Jane now have the record for the most songs in the top 75 of a countdown - Wolfmother's lowest-scoring song in its triumphant 2005 effort was #84, while Spacey Jane's lowest was #75. 

As for the top 50, Spacey Jane and Wolfmother each had five of their six songs in the top half of the countdown, with Lime Cordiale the other band to achieve that feat. In fact, all three bands landed five in the top 40. But Lime Cordiale's five all finished in the top 26 of the countdown - a feat that's unlikely to be beaten any time soon. The weird thing about Lime Cordiale's five-in-the-top-26 effort is that they didn't get a single song in the top 10 that year - their songs came in at 11, 16, 20, 25, and 26.

But perhaps most impressively, Spacey Jane are the first band to get three songs in the top six. Previous to 2022, Powderfinger and Gang of Youths had scored three songs in the top 10.

The "hottest number" 

The concept of the "hottest number" was devised by Tyler Jenke for his sadly dormant Hottest 100 Unofficial Database. The way it works is "a song in the #1 position gets 100 points, #2 gets 99 points, and so on until the #100 songs get 1 point". Simple right?

The hottest number could be seen as a bit of a nonsense stat, but it's a bit of show of quality amid the quantity. Yes, it's one thing to have lots of appearances, but how high were those appearances?

Hilltop Hoods were already on top of the table but have extended their lead by 77 points with the 2022 countdown. Here's the table as it stands now going by total points:

1. Hilltop Hoods 1589
2. Powderfinger 1467
3. Flume                 1454
4. Foo Fighters 1245
5. Tame Impala 1219
6. Lime Cordiale 1106
7. John Butler Trio 1062
8. Grinspoon         1053
9. Silverchair         1046
10. The Living End 1017
11. Spacey Jane 1009

This stat gets really fun when you start looking at what an act's average hottest number is - the higher the better. Of course there are some acts with a perfect average of 100 - The Wiggles, Denis Leary, Wanz, Kai, and May-A all have an unblemished record when it comes to the hottest number - they've all appeared on one song, and it landed at #1. 

But let's sort the hottest number average by acts with more than one appearance in the countdown (number of songs in brackets).

1. Mataya                 93.00 (2)
2. Phoenix                 92.50 (2)
3. DJ Snake                 91.00 (2)
4. Ryan Lewis                 89.67 (3)
5. The Verve                 88.00 (2)
6. Tom Cardy                 87.00 (2)
7. MGMT                 86.50 (4)
8. Bluejuice                 85.75 (4)
9. Bernard Fanning         85.67 (3)
10. The Cranberries 85.00 (3)

Now (because we're having fun aren't we?) let's look at the hottest number average for acts with five or more appearances. 

1. Gang of Youths                 78.67 (9)
2. Chet Faker                         78.00 (9)
3. Tool                                 76.29 (7)
4. Gorillaz                         74.00 (9)
5. Red Hot Chili Peppers 73.83 (12)
6. Calvin Harris                 72.86 (7)
7. Bush                                 72.80 (5)
8. Korn                                 72.40 (5)
9. Spacey Jane                 72.07 (14)
10. The Killers                 71.63 (8)
11. Peking Duk                 70.45 (11)
12. SZA                                 70.00 (5)

To look at this a different way, every SZA appearance averages getting voted in at #31, and every Chet Faker song averages #23. 

Shall we do the hottest number average for acts with 10 appearances or more?

1. Red Hot Chili Peppers 73.83 (12)
2. Spacey Jane                 72.07 (14)
3. Peking Duk                         70.45 (11)
4. Lime Cordiale                 69.13 (16)
5. Rüfüs Du Sol                 68.77 (13)
6. Lorde                                 66.77 (13)
7. Powderfinger                 66.68 (22)
8. Ball Park Music                 66.54 (13)
9. John Butler Trio                 66.38 (16)
10. Hilltop Hoods                 66.21 (24)
11. Flume                         66.09 (22)

We could do this backwards too - which is the act with the lowest hottest number average with 10 appearances or more? In other words, who's had lots of appearances in the Hottest 100, but on average lands towards the bottom of the countdown?

1. Bring Me the Horizon         33.62 (13)
2. Metallica                         34.60 (10)
3. Ben Harper                         35.60 (10)
4. The Amity Affliction         38.75 (12)
5. Kanye West                         38.95 (20)
6. Queens of the Stone Age 39.27 (11)
7. The Chemical Brothers 39.64 (11)
8. Bliss n Eso                         39.80 (10)
9. Josh Pyke                         40.10 (10)
10. Flight Facilities                 43.00 (10)

Lots of heavy music there and no surprises that Bring Me The Horizon tops the "coolest" number - they've never gone higher than #38, yet have had 13 appearances.

Thursday, 2 February 2023

REWIND REVIEW: Zappa (2020)

(MA15+) ★★★★

Director: Alex Winter.

Stills of Zappa without a cigarette nearby not available.

As I've written before, a good music doco not only has to tell the story of a musician in a way that can engage both the casual fan and the hardcore enthusiast, but it also needs to capture and reflect the artist's essence in some way.

Whether it be the joie de vivre of the Beastie Boys in a theatre telling tales and cracking wise, or the mind-numbing grind that was Radiohead’s OK Computer tour, or Amy Winehouse struggling in the face of endless papparazzi snaps, the best docos allow the artist's spirit and the reality of their situations to seep into the film.

In Zappa, it’s the zigging and zagging of the sound and vision as it goes that is the most Zappa-like thing about it. Concert footage is intertwined with found footage edited by Frank Zappa himself, stop-motion sits between interviews, and the many musical and non-musical hats of Zappa get an airing.


Constantly attention-grabbing, the doco details as much of Frank Zappa’s life as it can fit into two hours.The film moves episodically through all the Wikipedia moments - childhood, early bands, the Mothers, and on to the PMRC censorship war, Czechoslovakia and his cancer battle - with us much detail as it can muster, illuminated by Frank’s archival comments and a handful of ex-band mates, plus his late wife Gail. As such, it’s a collection of snapshots, with each one bolstered by personal recollections that help to paint a reasonably complete picture.

Given his astonishing work rate, remarkable output, and his endlessly chameleonic artistry, the film has a lot of bases to touch on, but it still finds time to provide an insight into who he was. It doesn’t pull back from the tough stuff - he slept around, hardly saw his kids, and was difficult to work with due to his exacting standards. On that front the film is admirable. 

Surprisingly concise but still well rounded, Zappa is the best doco of this under-appreciated talent that we’re likely to get. Hardcore fans may have hoped for more, but it does a great job of showcasing one of music's most daring, driven, and creative characters.

Tuesday, 31 January 2023

A Man Called Otto

This is a version of a review that aired on ABC Radio across regional Victoria on February 2, 2023.

(M) ★★★★

Director: Marc Forster.

Cast: Tom Hanks, Mariana Treviño, Truman Hanks, Rachel Keller, Manuel Garcia-Rulfo, Cameron Britton, Mack Bayda, Juanita Jennings, Emonie Ellison, Peter Lawson Jones.

No one told Otto it was Tracksuit Day.

Like all self-respecting film reviewers, I love being able to tell people that the American remake of a non-English language film is crap by comparison.

Given the opportunity, I will wax lyrical about how Let The Right One In is superior to the (admittedly excellent) Let Me In, or how Niels Arden Oplev's version of The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo is better than David Fincher's (also pretty good) version, or how The Upside is a piece of shit next to The Intouchables.

But I can't do this here, only because I've not seen the Swedish original A Man Called Ove. I haven't even read the original book, so I can't play the beloved "the book was better" card either.

All I can tell you is that A Man Called Otto is a predictable tear-jerker made no less enjoyable or heartfelt by its predictability.

In fact, the large numbers of old ladies commentating their way through the screening I was at and letting everyone know what was happening 30 seconds before it happened couldn't even detract from the film's sweet-but-gooey centre.

The titular Otto Anderson is a misanthropic grump, made acceptably so by America's favourite uncle, Tom Hanks. He lives in a semi-gated community where he ensures that the right rubbish goes in the right recycling bin, that only cars with permits get through the gates, and that the footpath to his door is always shovelled clear in snow season, despite no one wanting to visit him.

Naturally there are sad secrets behind Otto's cantankerousness, and the arrival of some new migrants across the way are likely to shovel the snow right off of Otto's frozen-over heart.


A Man Called Otto is about as subtle as a sledgehammer to the plums, and has a wind-up you can see coming from a mile away, but when it hits you it still hurts. The senior Hanks (his son Truman plays the young Otto) brings gravitas to everything he does these days, so even when delivering one of his more obvious performances, he makes the emotions feel real, such is his still-impeccable gift for being the everyman.

Treviño as the vivacious force of nature Marisol is also great, bringing a spark to every scene she's in. Garcia-Rulfo and Britton add welcome comedic touches amid the film's surprisingly dark and traumatic moments, while Bayda and Keller make some of the more obvious contrivances palatable.

Forster does his best with the material, draping scenes with a fitting drabness and a pleasingly organised symmetry to reflect Otto's way of life. The director also manages to weave the film's myriad flashbacks throughout in a surprisingly unobtrusive way. 

In lesser hands, and without a star as magnetic yet workmanlike as Hanks, A Man Called Otto would struggle under the weight of its often dark material and matching humour. That it strikes a sweet balance with its desire to warm hearts is a credit also to a deft script. In the end, it doesn't really matter that you can see what's coming like a car with its high beams on. Or by being at a screening full of commentating old ladies. 

Thursday, 26 January 2023

Who will win triple j's Hottest 100 of 2022?


It's Hottest 100 time again. The 2022 countdown is on January 28, and will once again deliver what triple j listeners deem to be the best songs of the past year, creating a musical time capsule for decades to come.

It will also bring with it much debate. There will be the typical whingeing from people who don't listen to triple j anymore and who preferred it in the '90s or the '00s when they played more Red Hot Chili Peppers or whatever, and who haven't caught up to the fact that triple j is the national youth broadcaster and thus keeps up with the youth and not ageing morons whose musical tastes haven't moved with the times. Get over yourselves, haters. (Oh, and listen to Double J on Sunday, January 29 when they replay the Hottest 100 of 2002 in full.)

When it comes to picking a winner, there are three key indicators - the various bookies, social media vote counter 100 Warm Tunas, and ARIA chart performance. The first two are somewhat obvious and are usually pretty close (although 100 Warm Tunas was wrong in 2019 and 2016, and the bookies didn't see The Wiggles coming last year). ARIA chart performance is the icing on the cake - only six times out of 29 has the Hottest 100 winner failed to chart in the ARIA top 50 prior to winning. 

An interesting thing to note this year is that 100 Warm Tunas has introduced an "experimental" machine learning (ML) process into its algorithm to help offset its past errors. Its a good way to counter discrepancies in the results, including the fact that metal and rock songs often rate higher in the Warm Tunas than they actually finish. I've added both Warm Tunas predictions - with ML and without ML - for completeness, although at the time of writing ML hadn't been applied to some songs.

I've also added in the thoughts of Patrick Avenell, who is an aficionado and unofficial historian of the countdown with some serious form in predicting the Hottest 100. He's the guy triple j goes to for expert opinions on the Hottest 100 (and I do too, as you can read here). 

And just for shits and gigs, I've added in Spotify streams and YouTube plays (which is a rough sum of film clips and lyric vids), because the more stats the merrier.

All stats/odds correct at time of publication.

And remember - gamble responsibly.


In The Wake Of Your Leave - Gang Of Youths


100 Warm Tunas (without ML) : #1
100 Warm Tunas (with ML): #2
Sportsbet: $6 (third favourite)
TAB: $4 (equal second favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: #1
Spotify streams: 5.66m
YouTube plays: 1.13m

Why it will win:
Gang Of Youths have four top 10 finishes under their belt, including a #6 last year, so voters obviously have a soft spot for them. With seven songs in the voting guide this year, including their beautiful Like A Version (LAV) of Travis' Why Does It Always Rain On Me?, Gang Of Youths are likely to have at least three or four songs in the 2022 countdown. Warm Tunas predicts three, with the other two way back in the count, opening up the field for In The Wake Of Your Leave. This potentially means less of a split vote, which may have undone them in 2017 when they had three songs in the top 10. Patrick Avenell has also given In The Wake Of Your Leave his blessing. Could this finally be Gang Of Youths' year?

Why it won't win: The bookies are slightly less certain about this song than Warm Tunas and Patrick  are, and when you add in the Machine Learning (ML), even Warm Tunas has some doubts. And while its Spotify and YouTube numbers are strong compared to the other Aussie songs here, In The Wake Of Your Leave lacks that all important crossover factor of an ARIA chart placing. Some argue that's becoming less integral for a Hottest 100 win (last year's Wiggles' win was a good example), but history still says you need to have snuck into the ARIA top 50 to get a #1 here.
 

Stars In My Eyes - Ball Park Music



100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #2
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #3
Sportsbet: $19 (sixth favourite)
TAB: $13 (fifth favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: #6
Spotify streams: 1.46m
YouTube plays: 67k

Why it will win: Again, Warm Tunas likes this better than the bookies. In fact, the vote aggregator liked it so much early on that it had this as the only song likely to give Gang Of Youths a run for their money (it's softened on this prediction somewhat, especially since the introduction of ML). BPM have had 12 songs in the countdown over the years, and got as close as #4 in 2020 with Cherub, which was a beautiful but very unlikely-seeming top five entry. Compared to Cherub, Stars In My Eyes sounds more like a #1. The love for them on triple j is huge - fans voted their 2022 album Weirder & Weirder the #2 album of the year, just ahead of Gang Of Youths' Angel In Realtime. This is BPM's best chance yet to win.

Why it won't win: BPM got to #21 last year with Sunscreen, a song that's had almost twice as many Spotify listens as Stars In My Eyes despite being released only four months earlier. They've also never had a charting single (Gang Of Youths have had two scrape into the top 50), and the bookies don't even see this going as high as Cherub did. And of the songs listed here, it's comparatively low on the Spotify and YouTube numbers. This all suggests BPM's lack of mainstream crossover could see them denied again.


Hardlight - Spacey Jane




100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #4
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): N/A
Sportsbet: $7.50 (fourth favourite)
TAB: $6 (fourth favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: #2
Spotify streams: 4.55m
YouTube plays: 408k

Why it will win: triple j listeners love the absolute shit out of this band. Spacey Jane's Here Comes Everybody was voted best album of 2022 by triple j listeners, and there are seven SJ songs in the voting guide to choose from. 100 Warm Tunas is tipping five of those will make the countdown, and while this kind of thing can split the band's vote, it's worth noting Queens Of The Stone Age won in 2002 with five songs in the 100. Spacey Jane have already had eight songs in the countdown since bursting onto the scene in 2019, including a #2 in 2020 and #3 last year. They've got good Hottest 100 form.

Why it won't win: Oddly, this is the least streamed of the three Spacey Jane songs predicted to go high. The bookies and 100 Warm Tunas both rate this a solid #4, and it doesn't seem to have the crossover appeal or X factor you'd expect for a #1. And while you should never write off the much-loved Spacey Jane, it's hard to see this track being as iconic as Say Nothing or In The Wake Of Your Leave.

Say Nothing - Flume feat. MAY-A




100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #3
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #1
Sportsbet: $1.83 (favourite)
TAB: $1.75 (favourite)
ARIA: #16
Patrick Avenell: #4
Spotify streams: 37.9m
YouTube plays: 4m

Why it will win: If the machines and bookies are to be believed, Flume is in line for a rare double. Powderfinger is the only act to ever win twice, but Flume is primed to equal that record. Say Nothing is the only ARIA top 20 single in the Warm Tunas top five, and has the most streams of any Aussie expected to go high. This counts for a lot in terms of mainstream crossover. This is the song to beat.

Why it won't win: It's hard to see anything beating Flume, who has seven songs in the voting guide. Maybe that will work against him and split his vote, but all signs are pointing at Flume. triple j's early post that it was a close vote is the only piece of information that will raise some doubts, along with the the fact that Warm Tunas places it third in terms of hard numbers. Maybe the AI is wrong.


New Gold - Gorillaz feat. Tame Impala & Bootie Brown



100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #5
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): N/A
Sportsbet: $26 (seventh favourite)
TAB: $15 (equal sixth favourite)
ARIA: #44
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 61.3m
YouTube plays: 10.3m

Why it will win: If Gorillaz get in at all, it will give Damon Albarn Hottest 100 entries 30 countdowns apart (Blur were in the inaugural 1993 poll with For Tomorrow at #90). Albarn's cartoon hip hop/pop act hasn't charted since 2010, but that might just give it cross-generational voting - throw Tame Impala's chorus hook on to Albarn's undying appeal, and you could see the votes coming from wide-ranging demographics. The song did sneak into the ARIA top 50, so there could be enough elements to get this home as a dark horse.

Why it won't win: The bookies have this a solid sixth or seventh, and its Sportsbet odds have been gradually lengthening in recent weeks. Patrick Avenell doesn't even have it in his top 10, and Warm Tunas doesn't see it getting higher than #5. For all it's cross-generational, mainstream-meets-triple j coolness, New Gold probably isn't going to get to the top. It's also worth remembering that hip hop songs are still a rarity at #1, with just two rappers winning in the last nine years.

B.O.T.A (Baddest Of Them All) - Eliza Rose & Interplanetary Criminal



100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #12
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML:) #7
Sportsbet: $3.50 (second favourite)
TAB: $4 (equal second favourite)
ARIA: #4
Patrick Avenell: #8
Spotify streams: 158.78m
YouTube plays: 24.8m

Why it will win: The bookies love this, and they sometimes seem to know something others don't. Warm Tunas' machines think this will do a lot better than the hard numbers say - it's one of the biggest improvers when ML is applied. It's also been a top five single in Australia. Female vocals have won twice in the past six years. Add all this up, and BOTA could be the best chance at knocking off Flume and MAY-A.

Why it won't win: Maybe too commercial for triple j listeners' tastes (though that line is often hard to find these days). But of the big ARIA-charting hopefuls (include Joji and Steve Lacy in that group), this has had the fewest streams. And Warm Tunas doesn't see it even cracking the top five, despite what the bookies say.

Camp Dog - King Stingray


100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #7
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #16
Sportsbet: $51 (13th favourite)
TAB: $15 (equal sixth favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 936k
YouTube plays: 101k

Why it will win: This is the underdog (pun intended) in this race. When triple j asked fellow musos who they'd voted for, King Stingray came up the most. Lots of people would love to see an indigenous #1, and there's a lot of love for King Stingray. They were the #14 most-played act on triple j this year, #5 in listeners' favourite album of 2022, and had two songs in last year's countdown. Warm Tunas is predicting three songs in the top 50 for King Stingray. And when you look at the difference between the two bookies listed here, and between Warm Tunas with ML on and off, it's hard to pin down where exactly this song could finish. Can all that love and support carry them to the top on a wave of positive feels?

Why it won't win: Warm Tunas' machines say this is one of the most over-represented songs in terms of hard numbers. And Aussie guitar rock definitely shows up higher in the Tunas than it does in the Hottest 100. There's a lot of goodwill behind this band, but its numbers are all over the place. Bookies don't agree, Warm Tunas and its machines don't agree. This one would have to come out of nowhere to take the prize.


And here are some other songs destined to do well:

Bad Habit - Steve Lacy

100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #14
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #10
Sportsbet: $17 (fifth favourite)
TAB: $15 (equal sixth favourite)
ARIA: #3
Patrick Avenell: #3
Spotify streams: 562m
YouTube plays: 80m


It's Been A Long Day - Spacey Jane


100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #16
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML) #18
Sportsbet: $81 (18th favourite)
TAB: $41 (equal 17th favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: #7
Spotify streams: 6.13m
YouTube plays: 217k


Sitting Up - Spacey Jane

100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #6
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #8
Sportsbet: $34 (equal ninth)
TAB: $21 (12th favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 6.57m
YouTube plays: 306.6k

Girl Sports - Teen Jesus & The Jean Teasers


100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #9
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): N/A
Sportsbet: $126 (equal 25th favourite)
TAB: $41 (equal 17th favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 816k
YouTube plays: 21k


Delilah (Pull Me Out Of This) - Fred Again


100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #8
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #6
Sportsbet: $31 (eighth favourite)
TAB: $17 (equal ninth favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 28.6m
YouTube plays: 2m

This Is Why - Paramore


100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #11
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): N/A
Sportsbet: $126 (equal 25th favourite)
TAB: $17 (equal 9th favourite)
ARIA: N/A
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 34.1m
YouTube plays: 9.82m

Glimpse Of Us - Joji


100 Warm Tunas (w/o ML): #17
100 Warm Tunas (w/ ML): #12
Sportsbet: $34 (equal ninth favourite)
TAB: $26 (13th favourite)
ARIA: #1
Patrick Avenell: N/A
Spotify streams: 760.1m
YouTube plays: 102m


And here's my top 10 prediction:
1. Say Nothing - Flume feat. MAY-A
2. In The Wake Of Your Leave - Gang Of Youths
3. Hardlight - Spacey Jane
4. BOTA (Baddest Of Them All) - Eliza Rose & Interplanetary Criminal
5. Bad Habit - Steve Lacy
6. Stars In My Eyes - Ball Park Music
7. New Gold - Gorillaz feat. Tame Impala & Bootie Brown
8. Delilah (Pull Me Out Of This) - Fred again..
9. Glimpse of Us - Joji
10. God Is A Bit Of A Freak - Peach PRC

Monday, 23 January 2023

White Noise (2022)

This is a version of a review that aired on ABC Radio across regional Victoria on January 19, 2023.

(M) ★★

Director: Noah Baumbach.

Cast: Adam Driver, Greta Gerwig, Don Cheadle, Raffey Cassidy, Sam Nivola, May Nivola, Lars Eidinger.

"I know I'm dressed like a judge, but I'm not actually a judge."

To dream the impossible dream, to fight the unfightable foe, etc, etc.... In the case of some directors, the impossible dream is to film the unfilmable novel.

For David Cronenberg, it was William S Burroughs' Naked Lunch. For Terry Gilliam, Hunter S Thompson's Fear & Loathing In Las Vegas. The Wachowskis had a crack at David Mitchell's Cloud Atlas. Zach Snyder tackled Alan Moore and Dave Gibbons' graphic novel Watchmen. And now Noah Baumbach has taken a stab at Don DeLillo's post-modern masterpiece White Noise.

While each of these were considered unfilmable for different reasons, some worked as films and some didn't (I'd say Fear & Loathing and Watchmen worked amazingly well, the others in varying degrees of 'less so'). Baumbach's largely faithful rendering of DeLillo's 1985 novel stumbles because of its fidelity to the source, showing up one of the key differences about the two mediums of book and film - what works on the page doesn't always work on the screen.

The film follows the Gladney family, led by death-obsessed parents Jack (Driver) and Babette (Gerwig). Jack is a lecturer who specialises in Hitler, while Babette is an energetic aerobics instructor, and over the course of their previous marriages they have accumulated four precocious children who are hungry for information.

Their lives are thrown into chaos when a train derailment sparks an "airborne toxic event", sending a plume of potentially deadly gas into the sky over their town.



Baumbach captures the absurdist satire of DeLillo's text, which pokes at the neuroses of comfortable middle America, including its obsession with death, propensity for misinformation, and fascination with supermarkets. These themes are explored with regular wit, and delivered in a barrage of overlapping dialogue that often segues off into non sequiturs and seemingly random diversions. While often funny, it soon becomes frustrating, and regularly sucks the pace out of the film.

While things kick off in the middle of White Noise's three sections (the airborne toxic event bit), the first one drags, while the third act sees the film grind in an uncomfortable and difficult direction. This final part feels like an entirely different movie with a much darker tone that sits at odds with part two's whimsical absurdity, which is like Catch-22 meets an '80s disaster movie.

Driver and Gerwig are valiant throughout, as is Cheadle who drops in for nonsensical asides. They obviously relish the odd dialogue and the requirement to play it straight, and if not for them the film would be an utter disaster. 

Instead it just feels like brave attempt at something different that ultimately falls flat. It's an experiment that's not without its moments, but its central themes end up feeling forced or unfulfilling. 

Some people find white noise soothing and listen to it to help them sleep. Others find it annoying. And that pretty much sums up White Noise.

Sunday, 1 January 2023

TV review: Wednesday

This is a version of a review airing on ABC Radio across regional Victoria on January 19, 2023.

(M) ★★★★

Showrunners: Alfred Gough & Miles Millar.

Cast: Jenna Ortega, Gwendoline Christie, Riki Lindhome, Jamie McShane, Hunter Doohan, Percy Hynes White, Emma Myers, Joy Sunday, Georgie Farmer, Christina Ricci, Moosa Mostafa, Victor Dorobantu, Tommie Earl Jenkins, Iman Marson, Isaac Ordonez, Catherine Zeta-Jones, Luis Guzmán, William Houston, Fred Armisen.

Watching The Cure live in concert is always more fun as a family.

The secret to a good cover song is finding the things that make the original unique and great, and doing those bits right. You can throw out everything else so long as you nail the ingredients at the heart of the song. Then you're on a winner. 

The same is true of a reboot. Case in point - Wednesday, a reboot of The Addams Family, which began life as a newspaper cartoon in the 1930s before becoming over a dozen different TV shows, movies and animated series across the past 60 years or so.

Yes, there are the kooky characters, including Uncle Fester and The Thing, which require a certain level of fidelity to the source material. But at its core, The Addams Family was about a love of the macabre and a fascination with the darker aspects of human nature, all the while being true to your weird self. And that's what Wednesday never loses sight of, even when its taking its nearly-century-old characters into uncharted territory.

What better way to hone in on those darker pockets of society than through a teen drama focusing on the Addams' daughter Wednesday, where the heightened emotions of adolescence can really help dial the darkness up to 11? Throw in a murder mystery and a Hogwarts-like school that celebrates not being "normal", and you have the perfect setting for Wednesday Addams' latest adventure.

Wednesday, played with perfect unblinking goth grimness by Jenna Ortega, is as unsettling as you would hope, but by placing her in a school filled with other outcasts, her weirdness is less bracing. This is part of the series' success. The show is less interested in Wednesday as an anachronism in the modern world, and as a result is able to focus more on who she is and what makes her tick. If Wednesday is too weird for the weirdos of Nevermore School For Outcasts, then why is that, can she ever be accepted, and what happens when other people actually understand what she's going through?


The Addams Family's central conceit has typically been based around the spooky clan's abnormal interactions with the real world, but they've always been able to retreat to their weird mansion at the end and wallow in their own kookiness. In Wednesday, there is no retreat for the titular character, which raises the stakes and makes her interactions all the more engrossing. While the film's core mystery - there's a killer on the loose - motivates Wednesday throughout, its how she deals with the unavoidable people in her life and the expectations of her school and society that provide the real drama.

From her colourful werewolf roommate Enid (Myers) to the strident headmistress Ms Weems (Christie), plus a couple of boys taken with her aloof ways, Wednesday is constantly threatened by the scariest beasts of all - friendship, romance, and small-town America. And then there are the murders to solve.

Much has been made of the presence of Tim Burton as a director on the first four episodes, and he certainly sets the tone in a way you might expect from the director of Edward Scissorhands and Sleepy Hollow. The requisite misty forests and gothic architecture are present, as is a Danny Elfman score, and Burton's love of "outcasts among the normies" is a key theme throughout.

Wednesday runs the risk of becoming just another teen TV series with a supernatural bent, or just another faulty reboot merely trading on brand recognition. But it's neither of those things, instead throwing a mixture of familiar ingredients into its cauldron to brew up something suitably creepy, kooky, mysterious and spooky.

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery

This is a version of a review airing on ABC Radio across regional Victoria on January 19, 2023.

(M) ★★★★

Director: Rian Johnson.

Cast: Daniel Craig, Edward Norton, Janelle Monáe, Kathryn Hahn, Leslie Odom Jr., Jessica Henwick, Madelyn Cline, Kate Hudson, Dave Bautista.

No one was looking forward to the return journey in the tiny car.

The mystery genre feels like its thrived in the world of TV more so than film recently. While seemingly every second TV show in this Golden Age is a mystery - from the new Addams Family reboot Wednesday to the quirky comedy of Only Murders In The Building - finding a good whodunnit contained within two hours or so is a pursuit worthy of a private eye.

In recent years, only Kenneth Branagh's Hercule Poirot adaptations and Rian Johnson's Knives Out have stood out in the cinematic line-up. And thankfully a standalone sequel to the latter is here, and it's even better than the first Benoit Blanc outing.

Craig returns as Blanc, the "Southern gentlemen" who happens to be the world's greatest detective. Here he finds himself inexplicably invited to the island of tech billionaire Miles Bron (Norton), who has called together several of his nearest and dearest "frenemies" for a luxury getaway weekend on his private Greek island.

But the invite is for than just a party - Bron is promising that the invitees will be witness to Bron's murder. And that's just the beginning of the intrigue.


Johnson's screenwriting knack is evident again here, with the entangling of the mystery and the themes at the story's core unfurling in an even more satisfying manner than in Knives Out. Here he skewers the super-rich and the new celebrity elite with a sure-fire wit, whether it be pointing out the idiocy of the Elon Musk-like Bron, or getting laughs from the many social media gaffes of model-turned-fashionista Birdie Jay (Hudson). 

The mystery is also neatly manufactured, though it remains to be seen whether repeat viewings reveal cracks or the true talent of the writing. Still the film's mid-point switcharoo is a daring and enjoyable one that is as devilish as it is fun.

None of this would work without a perfect cast, and Johnson has one here to match the stellar call-sheet from Knives Out. Craig is again in riveting form, while Bautista's man-dom dimwit, Hudson's beautiful airhead, and Norton's smarmy tech guru are also a highlights. 

However it's Monae who steals the show in a tricky, layered role which she masters via every look, pace and inflection. It's a wonderfully nuanced performance in a film that enjoys its big over-the-top moments just as much as its quiet cleverness.

The mis-directions of the story are a giddy thrill, and the humour is laugh-out-loud in places. The movie revels in its later insanity, building to it well, even at the expense of keeping things believable. 

Of course, a good murder-mystery isn't about believability. It's about whether the film can carry out its trickery within the rules of its own perverse logic and the unspoken guidelines of the genre. And in that sense, Glass Onion works perfectly. While it's not as hard-hitting with its satire as it could have been, and a few twists ask a lot of the audience, the film is excellent escapist fun, driven by a top-shelf cast.